Q3 Housing Boom: Condo & HDB Rentals Climb 20.9% Over 9 Months, 8.6% This Quarter

Q3 Housing Boom: Condo & HDB Rentals Climb 20.9% Over 9 Months, 8.6% This Quarter

October’s Housing Pulse: Not a Haunted House, Just a Market Update

Halloween’s around the corner—time for costumes, candy, and a dash of spookiness—but the real thriller this month is the latest data from Singapore’s Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) and Housing Development Board (HDB). They’re dropping fresh quarterly numbers that every property buff wants to digest.

What the Analysts Are Saying

  • Dr. Linda Lee (Appraisal & Analysis): “The market’s tripping over its own feet. Unit prices are oscillating like a restless ghost. Keep an eye on that migration wave!”
  • Mark Tan (PropTech Pioneer): “If sales are the “spirit,” demand’s the haunting. Strong demand spells a possible market stir.”
  • Sarah Koh (Urban Planner): “Infrastructure updates are pulling the markets around—think new transport hubs are the heroes in this tale.”

Key Takeaways

  • Quarterly figures show a sluggish, but not stuck, property rhythm.
  • Demand continues to be the driver—so the market’s breathing, albeit slowly.
  • Infrastructure projects could be the tin of fairy—resetting pace.
Next Steps for Investors

With the data lights on, hobbyists, professionals and first-timers alike should

  • Re‑evaluate their balance sheets.
  • Keep a close monitor on any new URA or HDB announcements.
  • Stay ready to ride the market undulate like a roller‑coaster.

  • Private residential properties

    URA Surprises: Q3 2022 Housing Prices Hit Record!

    What the Numbers Say

    • Q3 2022 Private Residence Index: 3.8 %
    • That’s a jump of 0.3 percentage points over Q2’s 3.5 % rise.
    • Yes, it’s the highest level the market has seen in any quarter.

    In plain English, the housing market decided to turn up the heat this quarter. If it’s anything like a kettle, those prices are boiling over!

    Since the UPI has been trending upward for a while, this new record break is no surprise. It simply confirms that private residential properties are still climbing the value ladder faster than ever.

    <img alt="" data-caption="Don't worry, we'll talk about the high rental index soon…
    PHOTO: URA” data-entity-type=”file” data-entity-uuid=”9aa0c043-e6b5-4aef-8af9-711364ae5adb” src=”/sites/default/files/inline-images/20223110_private_price_index_ura.jpg”/>

    Private property prices and volume

    Singapore Housing Market Surges: A Mid‑Year Surprise

    What the Numbers Tell Us

    Even with the cooling measures rolled out in December 2021, private property prices jumped 8.2 % in the first three quarters of 2022—up from 5.3 % in the same period a year earlier.

    Key Drivers Behind the Upswing

    • Non‑landed homes grew the fastest, posting a 4.4 % rise, while landed properties nudged by 1.6 %.
    • Suburbs or Outside Central Region (OCR) saw the biggest spike at 7.5 %, marking the sharpest quarterly increase since Q3 2009.
    • In the Core Central Region (CCR), non‑landed homes climbed 2.3 %, and the Rest of Central Region (RCR) edged up by 2.8 %.

    Insights from Market Experts

    Christine Sun, OrangeTee & Tie

    “The Q3 surge mainly stems from non‑landed homes across Ottawa and other suburban hubs,” she noted. She pointed out that the OCR’s 7.5 % rise is “the steepest increase in a quarter since 2009.”

    Lee Sze Teck, Huttons Asia

    • Lee credits three major launches in the OCR—AMO Residence, Lentor Modern, and Sky Eden@Bedok—as the primary catalysts for the price jump.
    • He highlighted that the median price per square foot in the RCR is now $2,431, roughly 13.5 % below the CCR’s median.
    • “Because the price gap narrows, more buyers are flocking to the CCR. We sold 562 units there in Q3 2022, even though only 240 were on the market,” Lee said.

    What Does This Mean for Buyers?

    If you’re looking to snag a home in the prime districts, the CCR is becoming more attractive. And for those eyeing the suburbs, the OCR is hot, thanks to a flurry of new builds driving supply and demand together like fireworks. The price story is shifting, making the market feel more dynamic—and a little more unpredictable—than ever.

    <img alt="" data-caption="The steep quarterly rise of 7.5 percent in OCR prices probably came from the three major OCR launches in Q3 2022 – AMO Residence, Lentor Modern and Sky Eden@Bedok.
    PHOTO: 99.co” data-entity-type=”file” data-entity-uuid=”f9fcc379-608b-45e7-a4a8-f1d0002c7996″ src=”/sites/default/files/inline-images/20223110_best_selling_projects_99co.jpg”/>

    Cool‑Down Weather Hits the Housing Market

    When the Singapore government rolled out the December 2021 ABSD and TDSR tweaks, it pushed a chill through the market—especially for folks buying a second or subsequent home. The impact is finally showing its teeth in the sales numbers.

    Why Q3 2022 felt like a “closed‑door” event

    That quarter happened to fall during the Lunar Seventh Month. Developers, respecting the tradition, called off launches—a bit like a house‑party that left the door locked. No new projects, no fresh listings.

    URA data tells the story

    • Q2 2022: 6,811 transactions (new homes + resales)
    • Q3 2022: 6,148 transactions
    • Drop: 9.7 % across the board

    So the combined effect of tighter debt rules, heavier stamp duties, and a quiet launch period has slashed sales by almost an entire tenth. Whether you’re eyeing a brand‑new apartment or the next favorite resale, the market’s feeling the heat—forever more cautious than before.

    <img alt="" data-caption="The resale and sub-sale volume of private residential units (excluding ECs) dipped 12.2 per cent in Q3 2022 after a surge in Q2 2022. 
    PHOTO: URA” data-entity-type=”file” data-entity-uuid=”e875488e-bc9f-4bfe-9f3f-1b38f45d34e1″ src=”/sites/default/files/inline-images/20223110_private_resale_ura.jpg”/>

    Real Estate Trends: A Quick Snapshot of 2022 Sales

    Last year, the housing market took a few sips of a bitter drink. New home sales—steering clear of those flashy ECs—climbed from 2,397 units in Q2 to 2,187 in Q3, marking an 8.8% drop. Meanwhile, the resale arena swung harder, falling by 12.2% from 4,236 to 3,719 units over the same stretch.

    What This Means for Buyers and Sellers

    • New‑home buyers might find a sweeter deal—prices could dip in anticipation of low demand.
    • Reseller markets are cooling off, hinting at fewer opportunities for quick flips.
    • The overall slowdown keeps both sides on their toes, but it could signal a shift toward more balanced, long‑term gameplay.

    Takeaway

    Whether you’re looking to buy your first new place or selling a second home, remember: the market’s mood this year feels like a gentle Sunday stroll—moderate, a touch chilly, and definitely worth exploring with an eye on the future.

    Private property rental

    Rents Are Hitting the Rocket‑Launch Benchmarks!

    Sun’s latest scoop shows that the rent radar just hit a new peak this past Q2 2022. Rents shot up at the fastest rate seen since fourth‑quarter 2007, clocking in an astronomical 11.4 % jump.

    What the Numbers Really Mean

    • Q3 2022 saw rents climb a rock‑solid 8.6 % from the previous quarter.
    • In Q2 2022, the climb was still steep with a 6.7 % increase.
    • Drilling deeper into the trend, if you look back over the last nine months, rents have jumped a staggering 20.8 %!

    The Bit of a Money‑Timer Twist

    Imagine if your wallet had a treadmill that’s running faster and faster. By Q2 2022, your “treadmill” had pretty much turned into a speed‑run, leaving you for a big, long stretch of budget challenges. The down‑pour of rent hikes means many tenants are feeling the pinch and folks are scrambling to keep their wallets as stuffed as ever.

    Bottom Line

    Sun’s announcement reminds us that by mid‑2022, we’re staring at the most dramatic rent surge in more than 15 years. If you’re hunting for a place or chasing budget sanity, keep that eye on the numbers—because they’re not slowing down anytime soon.

    Rental Rollercoaster in Q3 2022

    Ever feel like the housing market loves drama? In the third quarter, the number of units actually being rented shot up 20.5 %—from 21,068 in Q2 to a staggering 25,382 in Q3. That’s one big spike in demand while rent prices were blowing up all the way.

    Occupancy Stayed Hungry‑Hungry

    • Despite the price surge, 94.3 % of the available units stayed occupied. Yes, the demand was so hot, landlords couldn’t even keep their feet under the bell curve.
    • More renters are signing longer leases—some up to three years—just to lock in lower rates before the next wave of inflation hits.

    The Rent‑Inflation Tango

    • Landlords,
      spiked their asking rent above market value like a chef adds extra dash of pepper to a dish—only, in this case, the pepper is financial anxiety.
    • Rising interest rates and inflation have made landlords look at their mortgage bills and say, “Ah, that’s why our bank is eating us up.” They’re passing the pain on to tenants.
    • With the cost of a monthly payment climbing, many tenants are thinking “maybe it’s cheaper to move to the HDB” and have started the great toggle to more affordable housing.

    Fastest Rent Rise Since the Good Ol’ 2007!

    Lee is fluttering her cardigan because the rate jumped a shocking 8.6 %—the quickest increase in private home rents since Q3 2007. It’s a reminder that rent hikes can get wild, just like the last summer’s roller coaster.

    Foreign Students, Expats, and the Musical Chairs Crisis

    The return of foreign students and a steady stream of hiring expatriates have been putting the heat on. Renters found themselves at the mercy of “musical chairs” — when rent prices climbed beyond what they could afford, they had to move on to a new seat.

    • Some shifted from CCR (Census‑Classified Residential) to RCR (Rent‑Controlled Residential)—so they could balance out the extra load.
    • Others slid from RCR to OCR (Over‑priced Residential), pushing rent rates in those sectors up by 9.6 % and 8.8 % respectively.

    All in all, it’s a mix of higher prices, higher demand, and strategic moves—think of it as a strategic board game where everyone is scrambling to snap up a good tile before the house rocks a new layout.

    <img alt="" data-caption="Rentals of private residential properties increased by 8.6 per cent in Q3 2022 compared to 6.7 per cent in Q2. For landed properties, rentals increased 10.9 per cent in Q3 2022 compared to just 3.2 per cent in Q2.

    For non-landed properties, it increased seven per cent (CCR), 9.6 per cent (RCR) and 8.8 per cent (OCR) in Q3 2022 compared to 7.7 per cent (CCR), 5.9 per cent (RCR) and 7.7 per cent (OCR) in Q2 2022. 

    PHOTO: URA” data-entity-type=”file” data-entity-uuid=”64abe042-b7bf-4368-acff-1605aaf5c09f” src=”/sites/default/files/inline-images/20223110_private_rental_index_ura.jpg”/>

    What’s Cooking in the Rental Market?

    Rumor has it that the rent rollercoaster won’t take a break anytime soon. — who knew a budget leak could feel so slippery?

    Long‑Term Leases: The New Trend

    • More tenants are hopping on longer contracts.
    • Result? Fewer transactions for rent‑keepers to tally.
    • And fewer free spots on the market for other renters.

    Private Owners & the 15‑Month Wait‑out

    Unsubsidized HDB resale flats sit on a “15‑month wait‑out” treadmill. While owners cough up cash waiting for the green light, they’re subletting those units in the meantime. That, in turn, ramps up demand and huddles the price ladder.

    What’s Next in 2024?

    1. More homes are slated to hit the streets.
    2. That could slow the price climb that started mid‑2023.
    3. Bottom line: more supply = less squeeze.

    Stay tuned, renters—your lease choices are shaping the skyline, one long‑haul contract at a time.

    Private property market outlook based on URA’s Q3 2022 data

    Why Real Estate Still Looks Like a Hero When Markets Get Bumpy

    OrangeTee & Tie’s Sun has it: soaring interest rates, global tensions, and a looming recession are turning investors off the tick‑tock of stocks.

    So what’s the go‑to? Brick‑and‑mortar. Real‑estate has long been the “safety‑net” and a front‑line foe to inflation.

    “Housing Demand Won’t Quit” — The Inside Scoop

    “Our households are holding strong: plenty of cash, a tight labour market, and steady paychecks to support home buying,” says the source. “Sure, higher mortgage rates and pricey houses pinch buyers, but many will still snap up a place before the rates climb further.”

    Price Forecast for the Year

    • Expect house prices to climb 9‑11% through the rest of the year.
    • More Fed hikes are on the docket; inflation likely stays stubborn.
    Renters, Landlords, and The Crunch Ahead

    Meanwhile, landlords are riding a rent surge that cushions the swelling mortgage bills.

    But watch out: if mortgage rates keep stalling up, and the market gets crowded with new homes next year, some landlords might find it hard to toe the line on mortgage payments. The plot thickens with rising property taxes and the cost of living.

    Housing Market Hangs Tight Like a Loose Thread

    Huttons’ Lee is pulling the blinds on a quiet sale season. With just 2,133 launch items in the market— the lowest since Q4 2018— developers are cautiously clutching their new projects and waiting for the year‑end break (starting mid‑November) before hitting the launch pad.

    What This Means for 2022

    • Launch deferrals: Some new homes may be delayed until next year.
    • Transaction slowdown: Q4 2022 could see sales drop to a range of 1,000‑1,500 units.
    • Price tease: Huttons’ Lee expects prices to climb 9–10 % over 2022.

    Why the Holiday Chill Matters

    Just like a lull in a fireworks display, the holiday season gives buyers a moment to breathe. That pause can trickle into the market, slowing negotiations and opening lots for strategic postponements.

    Keeping Your Eyes on the Horizon

    While the numbers dip, the market’s future keeps growing. Watch the horizon— that 9‑10 % price jump could push homes into premium territory, setting the stage for a lively 2023 once the holiday dust settles.

    HDB resale prices and volume

    HDB Resale Prices: The 2019‑Like Quarter‑Over‑Quarter Stroll

    Picture this: the latest Q3 report from HDB still shows resale prices climbing, but just barely—2.6% up this quarter, a tad shy of the 2.8% lift seen in Q2 2022. Think of it as a gentle uphill walk instead of a sprint.

    Quick Tangent: First Nine Months of 2022

    • All combined, prices jumped 8% from the start of the year.
    • Back in 2021, the market racked up an average quarterly rise of about 3.2%—a pretty robust pace.
    • But that momentum slowed to 2.7% in 2022.

    Lee, the resident number‑crafter, summed it up: “It’s a bit of a rollercoaster but the dips have been relatively mild.”

    Housing Market Hallmarks

    The hill‑top view of Singapore’s residential prices has taken an unexpected dip: price growth is slowing down, a sign that the market is finally feeling the squeeze of rising interest rates and the relentless march of inflation.

    Affordability at the Front Desk

    • Inflation’s Iron Grip: When prices climb, the cost of everyday items like groceries, transport and utilities starts hogging more of households’ budgets. That leaves less room for a hefty down‑payment.
    • Middle‑ and Lower‑Income Buyers in the Hot Seat: These shoppers make up the bulk of the market, and they’re the ones who’ll feel the pinch. As their money gets stretched thinner, they’re less willing to fork out extra for the “next” big home.
    • Sun’s Insight: “If people keep spending a bigger chunk on necessities, their appetite for spending more on a new house will dry up.”

    Looking Back: The HDB Surge

    “Since the circuit breaker,” Lee says, “HDB prices have surged by a whopping 27.4 %. That’s a rock‑solid climb, but it’s also a red flag for many first‑time buyers.”

    A Rising Tide of Affordability Concerns

    • When prices climb like this, even a modest HDB can become a distant dream.
    • Some buyers, flush with cash, are willing to hand over higher bids just to lock in a home they love.
    • It’s a “buyer’s war”—and it’s not just happening in the big block apartments.

    The Pandemic‑Driven Space Fever

    “During the lockdown, everyone roared out: I want more space!” the Thai say. “So in Q3 2022, larger flats were flipping out faster than private ones, and they were still more appealing than higher‑priced private options.”

    Why Bigger is Bolder and Cheaper?

    • More square footage equals more comfort but cheaper per square foot than private properties.
    • It allows buyers to stay in the market while still keeping an eye on that dream house without Shelling Out Over the Top.
    • It’s a new breed of home‑seekers: they’re practical, have an eye for space, and can still afford a little adventure.

    As the market juggles inflation, rising rates, and a pandemic‑driven space craving, the real‑world lesson is simple: prices will rise, but smart buyers will still find their places in the market. The key? Knowing when to hold steady and when to step up.

    Millennial-Ready Million-Dollar Move: Q3 2022 Sky‑High Sales Trend

    This week, data.gov.sg spilled the tea that 111 million-dollar flat transactions went down the block in Q3 2022. That’s a jaw‑dropping 35.4 % jump from the second quarter, proving that even when the market feels a bit sluggish, high‑end buyers keep the momentum going.

    Where the Money’s Actually Live

    • Non‑mature estates are the new playground: 7 million‑dollar deals in Q3, up from 4 in Q2.
    • This means developers are still finding gold in those newer neighborhoods—pick a cooler suburb, and you might just hit a million‑dollar jackpot.

    Big‑Room, Big Money

    Buyers aren’t just fine with a standard 3‑room; they’re hunting for bigger spaces.

    • Five‑room + flats: 75 deals in Q1, 70 in Q2, but boom—105 in Q3.
    • The first nine months of 2022 delivered 250 five‑room+ sales, outpacing the entire 2021 tally of 210.

    Why this Matters

    When you see lighter‑made million‑dollar deals popping up in emerging estates and larger flats skyrocketing, it tells you that the market is still in a growth mode. For buyers, it’s a sign that the “live‑in‑luxury” dream is closer than ever.

    In short: the market’s hot for those who want a slice of the “big‑room” life, and the millions are flowing into newer estates—so if you’re looking to invest or upgrade, it’s time to dig deeper.

    Sun Sets the Record Straight on Second‑Timer Challenges

    According to Sun, folks who have already owned a home are having a hard time snatching up Prime Location Public Housing (PLH) flats in mature estates because the numbers are simply not in their favor. The result? Most of them will inevitably drift toward the resale market.

    Why the shift to resale?

    • Price surge: New condos in the suburbs climbed over $2,000 per square foot last quarter. That’s a hard‑knock reality for those hoping to upgrade.
    • Opportunity gaps: The BTO allocation tweak now favors first‑time families and singles who haven’t yet bought in the mature estates. Consequently, second‑timers find their chances slimmer.
    • Oversubscription pain: Take the August 2022 BTO launch at Alexandra Vale and Havelock Hillside. About 3,300 second‑timers chased 65 four‑room PLH units – that’s a 53‑fold oversubscription.

    Sun’s Take on the Numbers

    “More HDB upgraders are now going to the resale market, seeing that prices for brand‑new condos have pushed up the threshold,” Sun said. “With the BTO quota shift favoring first‑time buyers, these second‑timer folks feel the squeeze, moving out of the BTO window and into the resale arena as their odds decrease.”

    Bottom line

    In short, the recipe for home hunting has changed: if you’re a second‑timer, brace yourself for a more competitive resale market, and keep an eye on the numbers that’re shaping your next move.

    HDB rental market

    HDB Rentals: The Moon‑Phasing Trend

    Turns out, Singapore’s Housing & Development Board (HDB) is seeing a gentle pullback in rental demand, and the numbers don’t lie. The latest data, courtesy of Sun, paints a clear picture of the lending lane turning a tad cooler.

    Quarter‑by‑Quarter Breakdown

    • Q2 2022: 9,309 approved rental applications – a solid start.
    • Q3 2022: Down 12% to 8,192 applications, marking the third straight quarter of decline.

    For the seasoned watch‑ers of the rental market, 12% isn’t negligible. It’s like noticing a gradual change in the weather when you’d been expecting sunshine all week.

    Year‑over‑Year Snapshot

    • Q3 2021: 10,417 units approved, oh the glory days.
    • Q3 2022: A 21.4% drop to just 8,192 units – less than a quarter of what it was a year earlier.

    So, what’s driving this contraction? Is it shifting preferences, tighter financial markets, or maybe people finally getting into the game of not renting? While the headlines focus on the dip, the story underneath is about every hopeful renter weighing the pros and cons of 这片信息.

    Takeaway

    Renters, landlords, investors – keep your eyes on the numbers! The HDB rental market may be cooling, but it’s still an arena where hopes and dreams find a home base. And remember: even a 21% drop just means there’s still plenty of room for fresh faces to settle in. Cheers!

    Why Renting an HDB Flat Feels Like Trying to Catch a Unicorn

    Picture this: you’re on a quest to snag a cozy HDB flat, but the supply is rarer than a perfect dent in a solar eclipse. With fewer units up for grabs, landlords can raise the price tag—making every rental feel like a high‑stakes poker game.

    • Supply Powerhouse: Number of available flats down → landlords win.
    • Demand Dynamo: More people chasing the same spots → punch‑through rates climb.
    • Price Rocket: Limited inventory + high demand = rent soaring like a helium balloon.

    In short: the dearth of HDB rental options turns a simple apartment hunt into a premium, eye–watering adventure.

    Rents are Shooting Higher—Like a Rocket Into the Sky!

    “Boom!” According to the Singapore Real Estate Exchange (SRX) Rental Index, rents hit a brand‑new record last quarter, leaping up 7.5 percent from the previous quarter. And that’s just the tip of the iceberg: in the first nine months of 2022, rents had already surged a staggering 20.9 percent.

    Why the Surge? Landlords Getting a Fine-tune Forecast

    • Many property owners are upping prices, bracing for a future of soaring interest rates.
    • Higher mortgage bills? Check. With rates creeping, landlords want to lock in more money now.
    • Good thing they’ve got a trick up their sleeves: passing those extra costs straight to tenants.

    Sun’s Take: “Landlords might raise rents even more if property taxes climb and living costs rise next year.”

    What’s the Deal with the 15‑Month Wait‑Out?

    • Homeowners eyeing HDB resale flats must sit tight for 15 months before they can buy.
    • This waiting game means more folks will be renting in the interim.
    • Higher demand, higher rents—it’s a recipe for inflation in the rental arena.

    All told, spare yourself the shock: rents are on a steep climb, and the trend looks set to keep going. Buckle up, renters—your rent‑check might just start to feel like a rocket fuel boost!

    HDB property market outlook based on HDB’s Q3 2022 data

    Huttons Lee’s Coffee‑Break Insight on HDB Resale Prices

    According to Huttons’ Lee, the latest cooling measures issued on 30 September are likely to pull the price curve down in the fourth quarter. But why’s that? Let’s break it down.

    What’s the Deal for Private Property Owners?

    • Once a PPO (private property owner) sells their house, they’re grounded for 15 months before they can buy an HDB resale flat.
    • That 15‑month curtain effectively cuts out a chunk of demand from PPOs and ex‑PPOs.

    Silver‑Age Buyers Still in the Game

    For seniors 55 and older, the window remains open: they can snap up four‑room or smaller HDB flats without waiter‑list restrictions. That might push the four‑room market a bit.

    Price Growth Snapshot (Q2 2020 – Q3 2022)

    • Three‑room: 2.0%
    • Four‑room: 1.7%
    • Five‑room: 1.9%
    • Executive: 2.5%

    Record‑Breaking Sales to Remember

    In October 2022, a four‑room flat at Pinnacle @ Duxton hit an eye‑watering $1.37 million, becoming the most expensive four‑room flat in Singapore to date. Not long after, a five‑room flat at The Peak @ Toa Payoh sold for $1.38 million, topping the charts and setting a new record for the DBSS project.

    In short, after the cooling rules, the market’s likely to see a bit of a slowdown, with senior buyers still driving demand in the smaller‑room segment. Keep an eye on those numbers—they’re watching the timing as much as the price tags!

    <img alt="" data-caption="The view from Toa Payoh's The Peak – a DBSS project. While Pinnacle@Duxton stole the limelight in October 2022, a 1,227-sqft five-room flat at The Peak, which sold for $1.38 million in the same month, has become the most expensive HDB resale flat in Toa Payoh. 
    PHOTO: 99.co” data-entity-type=”file” data-entity-uuid=”7256ecb2-95a0-4bd2-beac-2e29dff9dcc3″ src=”/sites/default/files/inline-images/20223110_peak_toa_payoh_99co.jpg”/>

    HDB’s Big BTO Bonanza: A Possible Bender for Resale Buyers

    What’s the Deal?

    Singapore’s Housing Development Board (HDB) is set to roll out the largest batch of Built-to-Order (BTO) homes yet, slated for November. Analysts reckon this might redirect a trickle of buyers away from the resale market.

    Price Outlook? A Slight Slouch

    Expect a modest price dip of roughly 1‑2% in Q4 2022. If the overall price gain so far is pegged at just under 10%, this small blip will bring the yearly gain to a more comfortable level.

    Prime Spots in November’s Lineup

    • One prime site tucked in Kallang/Whampoa.
    • Another on the chic Queensway.
    • And a gem located at Ghim Moh.

    Resale Volume: What to Expect?

    Despite the price moderation, HDB’s team sees little ripple in resale numbers. By Q3 2022, resale volume sits at about 21,999 units, with projections of 6,500 to 7,000 units for Q4. Annually, that totals close to 28,000 units.

    Bottom Line

    While the November BTO launch nudges some demand its way out of resale, the overall market stays steady. The slight price easing just keeps the housing scene an upbeat, if not slightly cooler, game.

    <img alt="" data-caption="The upcoming HDB BTO exercise in November 2022 will be one of HDB's largest to date – with an estimated 9,540 units to be launched across five neighbourhoods.
    PHOTO: 99.co” data-entity-type=”file” data-entity-uuid=”7d1101dd-b2c3-44d6-b6ac-162c639641d5″ src=”/sites/default/files/inline-images/20223110_bto_launch_99co.jpg”/>

    Sun’s Take on the HDB Resale Scene

    Even with the latest cooling tweaks in place, Sun is still buzzing that the HDB resale market will keep showing its teeth for the long haul. She chalked up the resilience of our property market to a classic “bounce‑back” story that typically plays out within six months of any new cooling move.

    When the Market Takes a Breather

    “Some savvy buyers could snag a unit when the market hits pause.” She explained that with a wave of private homeowners heading off the market and prices potentially easing on the larger flats, a bunch of upgraders and first‑timers might grab the moment to scoop up a bigger pad.

    Those folks had previously been priced out because they didn’t have the cash‑rich power to compete with private owners. But now? The door’s open.

    Sun’s Numbers for 2024

    • Resale Prices: Sun expects a 9 % to 11 % jump this year, a bit shy of the 12.7 % chase seen in 2021.
    • Transactions: Sales are projected to dip to roughly 26,500‑28,000 units, down from 31,017 last year.

    What This Means for You

    So, if you’re eyeing a 4‑room or smaller flat, the market’s still hot enough—just cooler than the record‑setting run of $45 million‑plus flats back in Sept 2022. Grab the chance while it lasts; the window of opportunity is, after all, a fleeting one.