China Is Ready to Drop the Hammer if Taiwan Pushes for Independence
On Wednesday (Dec 29), a Beijing spokesman made a clear warning: China will not hesitate to take “drastic measures” if Taiwan moves toward declaring itself independent. The message rattles not only Taipei but also Washington, as the island’s unofficial status struggles under a rising tension with the mainland.
What the Spokesman Actually Said
Ma Xiaoguang, the official in charge of Taiwan affairs, told reporters that China’s steam‑roller approach is still open‑to‑peaceful reunion—but that it will unleash its full force if any separatist forces in Taiwan cross “red lines.” He added that “the situation will become more complex and severe” in 2024, and that provocations from pro‑independence groups and “external intervention” could increase in intensity.
Why This Matters to the U.S.
- Even though there are no official diplomatic ties, the United States is Taiwan’s biggest ally and arms supplier.
- China has long warned that the island is a “sensitive issue” in US‑China relations.
- Washington has a legal mandate to assist Taiwan’s self‑defence while following a policy of “strategic ambiguity,” meaning it’s unclear whether the U.S. would be ready to send troops if China attacks.
Frequent Fly‑bys Adding Drama
Beijing has sent a string of air missions over the Taiwan Strait these last months, pushing Taiwan’s leaders to think twice about any step toward independence. China’s message is unmistakable: it will not yield to threats or diplomatic pressure.
Bottom Line
In short, China keeps saying it prefers a peaceful solution, but it’s also clear it’s prepared to act if Taiwanese movements or outside cranks catalyze an increasingly fraught situation on the horizon. If diplomacy flounders, expect a high‑stakes showdown in the Taiwan Strait that could shake the entire region.
