Study warns new wave of globalisation could spike CO2 pollution

Study warns new wave of globalisation could spike CO2 pollution

When the Low‑Cost, Low‑Tech Jackpots Move to the Coal Belt

Hey fellow Earth‑guards, grab your coffee (or a lone ice cube, if you’re feeling brave). The latest scoop says that the cheap‑and‑quick production that once powered China’s and India’s meteoric rise is now setting its sights on countries like Vietnam and Indonesia. The catch? These new playgrounds are heart‑burning coal, and that’s a headline hot under the climate spotlight.

The Great Globalization Rewind

Remember how textiles, electronics, and basic apparel were the big winners back in the day? Those were China’s soul‑sister factories. Fast forward a decade or two, and the jobs are sliding left to Vietnam, Indonesia, and other “South‑South” buddies who’re investing heavily in coal‑powered factories.

Why This Is a Climate Time‑Bomb

  • Carbon‑crusted gears: The Industrial Revolution’s plastic and the modern blast of coal have kept greenhouse gases ticking up the hill.
  • Science’s alarm buzzer: A quick skip over the 2‑degree Celsius mark and we’re on the brink of more violent storms, brutal droughts, and floods that do the real world a favor for causing major headaches.
  • Carbon budget blowing like a popped balloon: At present rates we’re counting down to “burn the rest you’re allowed” in a matter of decades, after which the planet will jump another 2–3 degrees by the century’s end.
New Economic Wildfire

Researcher Jing Meng from Cambridge points out that from 2005‑2015, South‑South trade grew three times faster than the overall global trade—50% surge across the board. That means the supply chains are cracking open into more fragmented, lower‑wage zones.

What does this mean for our coal compass? The Intel, quoted by Chile’s professor Dabo Guan, says the next era’s carbon intensity sets the fate of climate targets. If we’re still burning coal in these “emergent economies,” we might blow past the very limits set in the Paris Agreement.

Coal’s “Greener” Road

Let’s review some numbers (no overwhelming mode, just a quick snapshot):

  • Turkey’s new coal power could lift its CO₂ emissions four‑fold from 2012 to 2030.
  • Vietnam’s output? A ten‑fold increase in emissions could be expected if the coal plans go live.
  • Egypt’s coal funding surged up to eight times since 2016.
  • Pakistan’s funding almost doubled after the same period.

Even with renewables getting cheaper, the cheap coal king still rules many places—especially “South‑South” countries where the cost of wind or solar can’t compete with the dirt cheap low‑grade coal.

The Irony: China & India Cooling Their Own Coal

While Beijing and New Delhi tossed out half of planned coal plants, the global coal investment curve is still skyrocketing. Meanwhile, China itself is buying coal‑powered plants overseas, teasing a chilling paradox.

A Take‑Home Throwdown (With a Smile)

So, Earth’s climate warriors, the next “boost” in manufacturing won’t just shift countries—it’ll shift carbon footprints like a lost sock blending into a dark laundry pile. The future of our planet is pinned on how well “South‑South” collaboration manages its coal appetite.

Stay cool, keep your carbon in check, and remember: even if a factory is built on coal, you can still upgrade your lifestyle—plant a tree, roll a bike, or simply keep your news feed lean.